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Climate Change Economics

The state of climate science does not justify extreme actions to address improbable impacts.  Alarmist global warming predictions, derived from computer models, are being misused to support policy advocacy goals, with goal of wholesale change in the energy system.  An objective review of the available information leads instead to a conclusion that significant unknowns and uncertainties remain in our understanding of the climate and the potential impact of change.  Uncertainty is not justification for inaction; it is a reason for prudence and flexibility.

 

The contemporary political dynamics of climate policy have shifted, substantially increasing the likelihood of forceful regulatory approach.  The Supreme Court?s expansive ruling in Massachusetts v. EPA opened the possibility for mandatory federal regulation of greenhouse gas emissions.  Serious consideration of a national cap-and-trade program followed.

 

Like the Kyoto Protocol on which it is modeled, cap-and-trade proposals would set a limit on allowable greenhouse gas emissions and reduce that limit over time.  Permits allowing emissions of a certain level are issued to or purchased by identified industries or utilities, who could sell any extras they possessed.  A cap-and-trade system is in place in Europe, but that system has proven costly and not produced the environmental return advocates claimed it would.  Cap and trade programs are complicated to craft and manage, will impose enormous costs on American families, and are prone to abuse.  Comparisons with alternative policy approaches to controlling GHG emissions show cap-and-trade proposals to be more expensive than known alternatives. 

Climate Change Economics


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